It seems I was monumentally wrong, at least when considering ALL projects (not just the really big ones - the truth is of course that no such OELVN has yet been released)... but if you take all projects, regardless of scope, well... I looked at my page where I collect the info for all reasonably started projects, and looked at the OEL titles already released (more or less all of them are at the RAA), made the percentage and I was really surprised. And I didn't even count a lot of the Flash OEL bishoujo... games, of sorts, this may have increased the percentage to around 30% (since such projects are also in the scope of the projects list).mikey wrote:... simply from experience, we KNOW that 95%, or even more of announced projects never get completed.
Anyway, the maths...
Given the fact that there are around 75 games on the RAA and I have tried to collect all reasonably started projects on my page, now it stands at around 285, that means that 360 have been started (285 + 75), divide that by 75 completed (or rather 75 / 360, times 100), that's around 21%
So actually, statistically, there is a very good chance that projects will be complete. Again, this is noting that it's mostly the small games that make this percentage, but nevertheless, it's still IMO a very encouraging statistic.